Over the last couple of years our nation’s economy has experienced turmoil not seen since the Great Depression. Nationwide unemployment rates have hovered around ten percent or higher. American workers have lost good jobs and been caught in the never ending cycle of unemployment or taking jobs they are overqualified for. Savings accounts have been wiped out, while debt levels have been maxed out. Drive down any street and look at how many “For Lease” signs are in the windows of businesses that are no longer around. Economists agree that one of the major players in our economy is the residential housing market, which has been battered by short sales and foreclosures. In order for our economy to turn around the housing market must first improve. However, in the midst of all of the bad news there is some good news. That good news is that for the first time in years we are seeing some small, but significant signs of improvement in the housing market!
The first good sign is that the inventory of available homes for sale is decreasing. According to statistics recently provided by Realtor.com the inventory of available homes has dropped by approximately 23% over the last year. The importance of this statistic cannot be overstated. As available inventory shrinks, competition for those homes increases and appreciation makes a welcome return to the housing market. This theory is proven by new statistics, which show that nationwide over the last year the average list price for a home has increased by three percent.
The second good sign is that the number of home owners who are behind on their mortgage payments has also decreased. Current statistics just released from the Mortgage Bankers Association show that the number of home owners with delinquent payments are at a three year low. In early 2010 a whopping 10% of home owners were behind on their house payments. In the last quarter of 2011 approximately 7.6% of home owners were at least 30 days past due on their payments. While a 2.4% decrease may not seem significant it equates to hundreds of thousands of home owners who are no longer at risk of losing their homes. Remember, short sales and foreclosures drag down the real estate market. As the number of short sales and foreclosures decrease the negative pressure they bring to bear on our market also decreases and appreciation again can make a very welcome appearance!
A third and final positive sign is that interest rates are at historical lows. In addition the United States government has announced that they are intent are keeping these rates as low as possible for the foreseeable future. We can already hear you commenting about “promises” made by the government being as solid as quicksand and while we may agree with you, this is very good news. Interest rates for thirty year fixed rate mortgages are currently running below 4%, which is a modern day gold rush! Extremely low interest rates for fixed rate loans provide home buyers with more buying power. In addition it ensures home owners don’t get caught in the trap of a rising adjustable rate mortgage with ever increasing monthly house payments. Low interest rates also allow for the potential of rising home values as buyers are able to spend more on the homes they purchase.
We firmly believe that as the housing market goes, so goes our economy. The American dream of owning a home is one that is firmly entrenched in our society and passed down from generation to generation. We understand that the statistics we provided are national numbers and that there are significant differences depending upon what part of the country you are from and what neighborhood you live in. However, the current statistics are the most positive we have seen in the last couple of years. So after suffering through years of negative news, let us take a minute and experience a little bit of happiness about some positive news. Just don’t call it a comeback…yet!
Chad and Robyn Link
Owners, Designated and Managing Brokers
Link Real Estate Group

